Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000228 0.000256 0.000284 0.000318 0.000355 0.000395 0.000442
2025-01-26 0.000189 0.000225 0.000267 0.000317 0.000378 0.000447 0.000534
2025-02-02 0.000169 0.000213 0.000265 0.000334 0.000420 0.000524 0.000662
2025-02-09 0.000149 0.000197 0.000258 0.000340 0.000449 0.000589 0.000781
2025-02-16 0.000132 0.000183 0.000250 0.000344 0.000475 0.000650 0.000903
2025-02-23 0.000117 0.000169 0.000240 0.000344 0.000494 0.000703 0.001017
2025-03-02 0.000104 0.000155 0.000227 0.000338 0.000504 0.000743 0.001116
2025-03-09 0.000093 0.000144 0.000219 0.000336 0.000519 0.000791 0.001230
2025-03-16 0.000085 0.000135 0.000212 0.000337 0.000536 0.000843 0.001355
2025-03-23 0.000078 0.000128 0.000207 0.000338 0.000555 0.000899 0.001489
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000121 0.000200 0.000336 0.000567 0.000944 0.001611
2025-04-06 0.000066 0.000115 0.000195 0.000338 0.000585 0.001000 0.001755
2025-04-13 0.000061 0.000110 0.000191 0.000340 0.000607 0.001067 0.001926
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000103 0.000184 0.000336 0.000616 0.001113 0.002068
2025-04-27 0.000054 0.000102 0.000187 0.000351 0.000662 0.001227 0.002344
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000098 0.000185 0.000357 0.000690 0.001311 0.002574
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000095 0.000183 0.000361 0.000715 0.001393 0.002805
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000090 0.000178 0.000360 0.000731 0.001459 0.003012
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000085 0.000171 0.000353 0.000735 0.001500 0.003173
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000080 0.000166 0.000351 0.000747 0.001560 0.003379
2025-06-08 0.000036 0.000077 0.000163 0.000352 0.000765 0.001631 0.003615
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000074 0.000160 0.000353 0.000785 0.001710 0.003874
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000071 0.000156 0.000351 0.000796 0.001771 0.004100